2022-01-en

The study presents the results of an estimative forecast for the individual components of environment in XXI century. The forecast is based on a regression model and insolation contrast range as a predictor.

The importance of developing a risk management methodology for the development of the renewable energy sector in Russia is justified. The stages of researches on the problem of risk assessments and management in renewable energy in MSU since 2015 are considered.

The article discusses the modern problems and prospects for the development of bioenergy of Russia. The possibilities of implementing the biodenergetic potential of Russia are considered. An overview of the effective technologies of the thermal conversion of biomass and describes new possibilities for using biofuels.

The article presents the data of International Renewable Energy Agency REN21 and Institute ofr Environmental Technologies AEF INTEC (Austria). In 2020 in electricity production hydroenergy topped (1170 GW, 4370 TWh), then wind enegy (743 GW, 1743 TWh), solar energy (708 GW; 901 TWh), bioenergy (602 TWh), geothermal energy (14 GW; 947 TWh)

The article containsa rough estimate of global investment costs that are required for the global energy transition to zero-carbon economy by 2050. The evaluations are based on the data on global energy supply and its forecast to 2050, assumption that all the global energy needs are to be satisfied only through non-carbon facilities